Replication data and code for

"Distinguishing between False Positives and Genuine Results:
The Case of Irrelevant Events and Elections"

by Anthony Fowler and B. Pablo Montagnes.

Please contact anthony.fowler@uchicago.edu with any questions.

The files in this folder should be sufficient for reproducing all results in
the paper. All analyses were conducted using Stata 17.0.

The replication code is available in "ReplicationCode.do".

All data are from Graham et al. See their paper, online appendix, and
replication materials for more detail.

"Games.dta" contains data on college football games, including the date,
teams, win probabilities as inferred from betting lines, game outcomes (win
or loss), indicators for whether each team is classified as championship or
high-attendance, and county fips codes for each team.

"demographics.dta" contains data on demographics by county-year.

"electoralG.dta", "electoralP.dta", and "electoralS.dta" contain
county-level election results for gubernatorial, presidential, and U.S.
Senate races, respectively. The variable "vote" is the incumbent party's
vote percentage. 


